Superdeterminism 2.2

Paradox 9.3 | Bell’s theorem, 4.2

The meaning of the phrase “counterfactual definiteness” in quantum mechanics or Bell’s theorem is not the same as that in the superdeterminism theory. They are two different concepts.

In the superdeterminism theory, no non-local wave function collapse effect is needed, as all are pre-programmed, including the experimenters’ choices of measurement axes. Superdeterminism assumes that the world is classical and classically deterministic.

In such a situation, it is counterfactual definite in a sense that there is no quantum superposition. A system has a definite classical state even before any measurements.

However, it is not counterfactual definite in sense that there are no alternatives. It is not meaningful to ask, “What if the experimenter had chosen another measurement axis?”

Bell’s theorem assumes that the types of measurements performed at each detector can be chosen independently of each other and of the hidden variable being measured. In order for the argument for Bell’s inequality to follow, it is necessary to be able to speak meaningfully of what the result of the experiment would have been, had different choices been made. This assumption is called counterfactual definiteness.

But in a deterministic theory, the measurements the experimenters choose at each detector are predetermined by the laws of physics. It can therefore be argued that it is erroneous to speak of what would have happened had different measurements been chosen; no other measurement choices were physically possible.

— Wikipedia on Superdeterminism

 
Superdeterminism is cheating.

— Me@2012-11-24 11:21:01 AM

2012.11.27 Tuesday (c) All rights reserved by ACHK

Monty Hall problem 1.5.1

機會率哲學 4.1.1

這段改編自 2010 年 4 月 3 日的對話。

「蒙提霍爾問題」(Monty Hall problem)有一個比較平易近人的解答。

This is a public domain image.
Player’s pick has a 1/3 chance 
while the other two doors have 1/3 chance each, for a combined 2/3 chance.
— Wikipedia on Monty Hall problem

This is a public domain image.
With the usual assumptions player’s pick remains a 1/3 chance, 
while the other two doors have a combined 2/3 chance: 
2/3 for the still unopened one and 0 for the one the host opened.
— Wikipedia on Monty Hall problem

「蒙提霍爾問題」假設了,在遊戲開始時,三扇門「門後有房車」的機會均等。所以,你選定了一道門後,你中獎的機會就是三分之一,而其他門中獎機會率的總和,有三分之二。那樣,在主持人打開另外的其中一道門後,如果你維持原本的選擇,你中獎的機會就仍然只有三分之一。主持人打開了一道沒有車的門,而又容許你改變選擇,就相當於給予你,一次過選擇其他全部門的機會。因此,如果你肯改變選擇,你中獎的機會率,就會由三分之一,躍升至三分二。

如果你仍然不相信,你可以先假想這個遊戲的一個極端版本。假設這個「開門抽獎遊戲」改為有一千道門。其中只有一扇門的後面,有名貴房車。其餘的門後面,都是山羊。跟原本的版本一樣,在遊戲開始時,所有門的中獎機會均等。換句話說,無論那位參賽者選擇哪一扇門,中獎的機會,同是千分之一。

參賽者選了一道門後,主持人就會打開其餘 999 道門中的其中 998 道。那 998 扇門的後面,都各自有一隻山羊。然後,主持人又會問你,要不要更換選擇。你不更換的話,就相當預計了,自己在第一次選擇時一擊即中。那只有千分之一的機會。如果你意會到這一點,你就一定想放棄原選。

這個講法的好處是,既容易理解,又剛巧可以得出正確答案。可惜,這個講法的推論過程是錯的,即是詭辯。

— Me@2012.11.26

2012.11.27 Tuesday (c) All rights reserved by ACHK